Saxo Market Call
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Saxo Market Call
For the aspirational trader and financial markets professional. Coming at you most trading days, the Saxo Market Call is the high frequency podcast for real-time analysis of the financial markets across asset classes, from forex and rates to equities and commodities.
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Rebalancing away from AI continues, USTs still a concern
Today, we note the extension of the recent boom in the broader market and small caps relative to tech, as the relative rotation away from AI continues...
Oracle spoils post-FOMC pump, can Broadcom save the day?
Today, a look at the S&P 500 attempting a new all-time high and the broader market bulling up strongly on the nominally dovish FOMC meeting, only to b...
The stunning silver surge, the FOMC and prepping for a jobs apocalypse.
Today, we look at the equity and treasury markets holding their collective breath ahead of the FOMC tonight and what to watch for in the market's reac...
Is a volatility expansion on tap across markets post FOMC?
Markets are a bit nervous here ahead of the FOMC meeting tomorrow and the delayed key US data, with the key question afoot of whether the US treasury...
The 9-minute: Have we just seen a "harbinger of financial apocalypse"?
Today, a quick look around global markets, where the JPY can't find a bid as long as global bond markets are under pressure, the US stock market conti...
Small caps bull FTW, while USDJPY tilting, tilting....
Today - US small caps posting all-time highs while the action in the major indices remains positive, but moribund. Elsewhere, the JPY is knocking on k...
Divergences under the surface extend further, while FX heating up.
Today, we note that the recent divergences we have highlighted have almost begun to hyperextend, as small caps, transports and other sectors had a ban...
Crosscurrents all around and outrageous predictions!
Today, a look at the many crosscurrents in this market as some beaten down names and formerly beaten down sectors have surged higher, while the attemp...
Rotation a go-go and who gives a hoot about Hassett?
Today - a look at another day of powerful rotation moves across themes in the equity market and even within AI, why we shouldn't care that much about...
The 9-minute: Stonx FTW!
Today, the stonx are back after a ripping session on Wall Street, as are AI stocks, led by Google and Broadcom as Nvidia suffers from the competition...
Welcome to the 9-minute.
Today we shake up the podcast format a bit, something we plan to do from here on out by offering shorter, sub-10 minute episodes for quicker turnaroun...
Yesterday looked like an ugly "tell" for the market. Be careful out there.
Today, we break down a truly remarkable session yesterday, with new local highs on the sentiment boost from Nvidia's strong earnings and guidance comp...
AI trade gets Nvidia earnings boost while JPY spins into the abyss
The market is trying to get back on the rally train on a strong Nvidia earnings report, although returning to trend will require some heavy lifting in...
It's showtime for Nvidia tonight: can its earnings right market sentiment?
Today, a look at the confluence of pivotal market technicals and the big event risk of the earnings calendar tonight after the close: Nvidia. How will...
Risk off has gone global, even as US treasuries and FX press snooze
Today, we note that the market's stabilization attempt from Friday seems to have failed as risk-off has gone global in equities, perhaps led by the me...
Friday gave us a line in the sand ahead of Nvidia earnings
Today, a look at the further meltdown in risk sentiment that was corralled on Friday before any bigger breakdown, which has now given us a technical l...
AI leading equity market nosedive. Also: USD no safe haven?
Today, we cover the very ugly day for US equity markets, with the selling quite broad, but most concentrated in AI-related and crypto-related names as...
AI picks & shovels versus AI miners. Also: "Gimme a stimmie!"
Today we look at another fascinating session full of divergences, particularly the clearly emerging pattern of AI "picks and shovels" sellers (hardwar...
One day, is gonna be the day, the K-shape really gets to you
By now you should have some how realized the things you oughta do... Okay enough of that...(Hint - goofing around with alternative lyrics to the Oasis...
As market comeback continues, remembering those who served.
On Veterans' Day, remembering those we know and knew that served, we note that the market comeback is nearly complete with only the last shreds of res...
Most significant market correction since April - is it over?
Today, a look at markets bouncing back with considerable enthusiasm as the US government shutdown may be set to end in coming days, though it's worth...
We are at a tipping point - which way do we tip?
Another ugly day on the US markets as the AI bubble focus heats up and key names are bleeding, from Nvidia and Palantir to Meta and Oracle. With VIX n...
A critical constraint for AI infrastructure spending: it's not about the chips.
Today, a look at the market's attempt to recover from the recent sell-off, noting at least one key name that is not participating in the comeback and...
Corrections without obvious drivers to be taken more seriously?
Today - a rundown of yesterday's significant, if rather mega-cap and AI-concentrated market correction and its possible drivers, including the idea th...
Bubbliest of the bubbly companies on deck with earnings. FX heating up?
We are much of the way through earnings season, although some of the bubbliest of the big bubbly names are reporting earnings this week, including spe...
The boy who cried "Hindenburg Omen!"
Today we break down the weak US equity market session, which was partially reversed after hours by a blowout Amazon earnings report. We also note that...
US & China check the key "trade war detente" boxes. Meanwhile, market narrowness a concern.
Today, we look at the US and China clearly wanting to de-escalate trade tensions as both sides made concessions, with a one-year time horizon for some...
A pivotal 24-hour window for global markets
Equity markets hit fresh highs on hopes for a friendlier terms-of-trade stance between the US and China to be agreed ahead of a Trump-Xi meeting meant...
Could precious metals meltdown see new FX themes emerging?
Today, a look at the strong risk appetite rally encouraged by hopes for a respite or detente in the US-China trade war. Also, a look at some wild move...
The art of the deal, or at least the art of the pause button.
The US and China appear to be headed toward a trade deal, or at least an agreement to come to arms-length terms to de-escalate on a number of fronts f...
Market hoping for US-China comprehensive deal. Also, could gold's role shift from here?
Today, we look at a market that remains hopeful the US and China are maneuvering towards a comprehensive deal, which could clear the decks of signific...
Critical four days ahead for geopolitical headlines
Today we look at a rocky session for equities as geopolitical headlines spooked the market, which is trying to figure out whether the latest US threat...
Remember that China has as much power as Trump to sway the market
Yesterday saw a low-energy session in US equity markets, though as ever with considerable turbulence and divergence beneath the surface. We also under...
Markets charge back higher as we continue to cast a jaundiced eye.
Today, we note the US equity market strength, but also note some of the signs that the rally is of poor quality as we continue to maintain that we are...
Market says glass is half full as we near crunch time on multiple fronts
Today we look at the strong equity market recovery on Friday and its drivers, chiefly centred on hopes that US-China trade talks proceed in the direct...
Market fear levels shoot up, but not everyone is paying attention
Today we look at a relatively ugly day for the market, although the huge ugly sell-off in US regional banks was only one aspect bringing down overall...
The waiting is the hardest part
Markets are hopeful that we get some kind of new US-China detente on trade ahead of a purported Xi-Trump summit "later this month". The stakes couldn'...
Peak market meme-ification surely getting close?
Today, we look at markets taking the US-China trade stand-off quite seriously, while retail meme-stock madness continues apace as seen in many names p...
The silver streak - can it continue?
Today - we look at the wild ride in silver after it hit 50 dollars an ounce yesterday and for the first time ever - can the run continue? Elsewhere, a...
Talk of "melt-up" now competing with "bubble risk"
Today we look at the latest surge in US equities, led by key AI stocks while noting that talk of "melt-up" risk has become far more prevalent. We also...